Charlie and Colin break down every major Bitcoin price prediction model and explain why they’re all fundamentally flawed. From Plan B’s broken stock-to-flow to Giovanni’s power law obsession, rainbow charts, and Metcalfe’s law – we expose the problems with each approach and introduce Charlie’s new “institutional structured bid corridor” theory for this cycle.
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NOTES:
• Stock-to-flow predicted $1M by 2025 – failed
• Rainbow chart undefeated since 2013
• Power law predicts $100K by 2028 latest
• Metcalfe’s law broken by ETF adoption
• Hyper-bitcoinization chart shows $100B BTC
• Institutional money creating price channels
Timestamps:
00:00 Start
00:34 Price Models
02:09 Stock to Flow
10:48 Rainbow Chart
14:59 Arch Network
15:31 Power Law
21:40 Metcalfe’s Law
28:03 Hyperbitcoinization Model
30:47 Institutional Structure Bid Corridor Model
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